57A031
Rapid recovery of Arctic summer sea-ice loss
Steffen Tietsche, Dirk Notz, Johann Jungclaus, Jochem
Marotzke
Corresponding author: Steffen Tietsche –
steffen.tietsche@zmaw.de
Using a state-of-the-art general circulation model, we
examine the recovery of Arctic sea ice from prescribed ice-free summer
conditions in simulations of 21st century climate. We find that after such
perturbations, Arctic summer sea-ice extent returns to the original unperturbed
extent within 1–3 years. The excess oceanic heat that had built during the
ice-free summer is returned rapidly to the atmosphere during the following
autumn and winter. The excess heat then leaves the Arctic partly through
increased longwave emission at the top of the atmosphere and partly through
reduced atmospheric heat advection from lower latitudes. Oceanic heat transport
does not contribute significantly to the loss of the excess heat. Our results
suggest that anomalous loss of Arctic sea ice during a certain single summer is
reversible. Hence, hysteretic threshold behavior is unlikely to occur during the
decline of Arctic summer sea-ice cover in the 21st century.
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