57A052
Profound changes in Arctic sea-ice kinematics and mechanical
behaviour
Florent Gimbert, Pierre Rampal, David Marsan, Jerome
Weiss
Corresponding author: Florent Gimbert –
florent.gimbert@ujf-grenoble.fr
The spectacular evolution of the Arctic sea-ice cover
over the last few decades is not restricted to sea-ice thinning or the decline
of the September minimum. From a statistical analysis of the buoy trajectories
of the International Arctic Buoy Project (IABP) dataset, recorded from February
1979 to December 2008, we analyzed the evolution of sea-ice drift speed,
deformation and mechanical behaviour over the last three decades. Calculating
the monthly averages of buoy speed over the Arctic basin, we observed a
significant increasing trend of +9% per decade, superimposed to a strong annual
cycle. As Arctic sea ice is essentially confined into a basin, one expects on
average an increasing deformation rate as a consequence of increasing ice speed.
Using the dispersion rate of buoys as a proxy of sea-ice strain rate, we
obtained increasing trends of more than +50% per decade for both summer and
winter deformation rates. We argue that this spectacular evolution is unlikely
(or marginally) the consequence of an increase of the wind forcing over the
period, but instead results from a coupling between sea-ice thickness and
fracturing-induced deformation. A thinner sea-ice cover means a decreasing
mechanical strength and so an increase of deformation and associated fracturing.
More fracturing means more lead opening, hence stronger melting during summer
and a delayed refreezing in early winter, thus a thinner ice. As a fragmented
ice cover is easier to deform and drag, this explains the acceleration of its
drift and may facilitate the export from the Arctic basin. To further test this
scenario, we developed an original method to estimate an ‘internal
friction’ of the ice cover from the average magnitude of inertial
oscillations: a more fragmented less cohesive ice cover will, on average,
exhibit larger inertial oscillations, whereas these oscillations will be
entirely damped within a highly cohesive cover. This inertial oscillation
magnitude is calculated from the amplitude of the Fourier spectrum of the
velocity records of the buoys measured at f = –2sin(latitude)
d–1, then appropriately
averaged over specific time and/or spatial scales to analyse the evolution of
sea-ice mechanical behaviour over the last three decades. We observed a
significant evolution towards larger inertial oscillations, i.e. a weaker less
cohesive Arctic sea-ice cover in both summer and winter. This evolution is
particularly remarkable since 2000 and in the eastern Arctic regions where the
sea-ice decline has been especially marked. This re-asserts the importance of
mechanical processes for the future of Arctic sea ice.
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